NFL Week 8: Fire and Ice

Quarterbacks

FIRE:

Cam Newton (CAR)- The concussion issue along with facing the Cardinals defense is a recipe for disaster according to some fantasy owners and analysts. On the other hand, check out what the reigning MVP did to the Cardinals last year in the playoffs- over 350 total yards and 4 touchdowns. Do not fret. Bet.

Russell Wilson (SEA)- Finally, the week has come for Wilson to put up top tier fantasy numbers. If not this week, when? Wilson was the number three fantasy quarterback last year and relives that success this Sunday. Trade for this man because he is going to have a torrid second half.

Derek Carr (OAK)- The Buccaneers are the 19th best team against opposing QBs. The matchup is golden when taking into account what quarterbacks the Buccaneers have played this season:

  • Matt Ryan
  • Carson Palmer
  • Case Keenum
  • Trevor Siemian+Paxton Lynch
  • Derek Anderson
  • Colin Kaepernick

Besides Ryan and Palmer, the rest are some of the worst in the league. When they played Matt Ryan and Carson Palmer, the Buccaneers defense let up an average of 28 pts. Carr will do the same.

Booking a Hotel Last Minute?

Ryan Fitzpatrick (NYJ)- Fitzpatrick plays the Browns in a game that he has a lot to prove after calling out the entire Jets front office following the comeback win against the Ravens. While all of Cleveland will be focused on the Indians and Cavaliers, Fitzpatrick will be focused on the 20 fantasy points he scores this week.

ICE:

Phillip Rivers (SD)- The Denver secondary will be unstoppable this week. Rivers won’t get more than 15 fantasy points. He is a no go this week- so much so that Fitzpatrick is a better option.

Marcus Mariota (TEN)- Big time shit list this week. He does not look confident or comfortable in the pocket. Jacksonville held Derek Carr to 13.4 points last week and Hoyer to fewer points the week before as well. Tennessee is heavily committed to their run game inside the red zone so Mariota will have to make big plays in order to score points. This week, he will not.

Dak Prescott (DAL)- Dez Bryant’s return will only disrupt Dak’s success. The Cowboys will not get anything working through the air and will continue to run Elliot as if he is Optimus Prime. Just like Rivers, Dak has a low ceiling this week.

I would rather cut off my pinky than play:

Jay Cutler (CHI)- He is the most hated man in Chicago right now, behind only Roberto Perez of the Cleveland Indians. Xavier Rhodes and Harrison Smith on defense will welcome Cutler’s return with interceptions.

 

Running Backs

FIRE:

Devantae Booker (DEN)- This guy is more than just a handcuff for CJ Anderson. Booker’s averaging 4.8 YPC this year and CJ Anderson is known to be inconsistent. Booker’s carries have been increasing on a weekly basis and for good reason. Expect him to get approximately 15 touches this week.

Jacquizz Rodgers (TB)- He is getting an insane amount of touches while Doug Martin is out, while the media remains uninformed about Martin’s return. Jacquizz has favorable matchups for the next three weeks and should be starting in all fantasy leagues for the time-being.

Two Players to Make an Early Move On:

Ka’Deem Carey (CHI)- Carey looked significantly better than Jordan Howard last week. It felt like unless there was pristine blocking, Jordan Howard was getting stuffed at the line. Bears play another very tough run defense this week in the Minnesota Vikings so neither running back will have a good day. The week after, the Bears are on the bye. Kadeem Carey will be the starter coming out of the bye in two weeks. Mark my words.

Ryan Mathews (PHI)- Yes, he is droppable. He will have another bad week this week, but after that he has some playable matchups at the FLEX position. Mathews is a buy low candidate at a price lower than low. Anyone who owns him right now wants out. Take advantage of it.

ICE:

Redskins’ Backfield- The Redskins’ trust in Matt Jones is fading quickly as he once again fumbled. Oh yeah, and that fumble was on the one yard line. And oh yeah, he fumbled a second time as well. Jones is running on lava for the next couple of weeks, and his backups are good enough to take his job. It will be a miserable situation for Matt Jones owners for the rest of the year. The Redskins will split carries between Jones, Thompson and Kelley, which is the absolute worst thing possible.

Melvin Gordon (SD)- Melvin Gordon enters week 8 as the number three fantasy running back behind only David Johnson and Demarco Murray. Melvin Gordon has 10 total touchdowns, while running for only 3.3 YPC and a total of 636 yards this season. In other words, he is averaging a touchdown for every 60 or so yards. This week, Melvin Gordon will not have that type of luck and will inevitably make fantasy owners cringe as they see Gordon not score, and run for less than 50 yards.

Jonathan Stewart (CAR)- The Cardinals are the 2nd ranked team in terms of least fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. Stewart will not be able to find the end zone, which will subsequently lead to a disappointing fantasy performance. Expect less than 7 points.

Stay Away From:

Isaiah Crowell (CLE)- The Jets’ run defense has actually been pretty good with the exception of the Arizona Cardinals game. Crowell is yet to have a game with over 20 carries this season and Duke Johnson Jr. is still peaking over his shoulder waiting for an opportunity. Crowell will not find the end zone and finish with only 6 points this week. His value will continue to trend downward from this point on.

 

Wide Receivers:

FIRE:

Ty Montgomery (GB)- The Packers are finding ways to use him across the offense whether it is in the backfield or slot. After the game against the Bears, Rodgers praised Montgomery’s heart and passion. Rodgers will punch Montgomery’s ticket into the end zone this week against a terrible Falcons defense.

Deandre Hopkins (HOU)- Do not get rid of him. Do not trade him. Do not. The targets are there (12 last week), but the throws are not. Osweiler should be benched, but the team paid him too much to do so. Throughout his career he has never been the most consistent WR, but has found a way to create big plays and big weeks based on pure talent. The Lions’ cornerbacks will not be able to hang with this man in week 8.

Julian Edelman (NE)- Edelman will come alive against the Bills. He had 9 catches on 10 targets last week in a game where he was only needed in the first half. In the second half, Blount ran over the Steelers’ line like it was his job. Oh wait- it is his job. Edelman is in for at least one touchdown on Sunday. Brady gets what Brady wants and Brady wants to get his boy Edelman involved.

Jordy Nelson (GB)- Touchdown this week. Keep him in your lineup. That game last week was a fluke- his matchup this week could not be any more enticing. It will be a shootout in Atlanta.

ICE:

Marvin Jones (DET)- As Golden Tate is becoming more of the player that fantasy owners expected, so is Marvin Jones (in a negative way). Texans will be able to stop his big play capabilities this week and limit him to less than 70 yards and no touchdown.

Bears WRs- DO NOT START ANY. Jay Cutler is back and will be as bad as ever. The Bears are also playing the best defense in the league. Stay away from all of their receivers, including Alshon.

 

Tight Ends:

FIRE:

Jack Doyle (IND)- He is a stud when Dwayne Allen is out. Doyle is a huge red zone target for Luck. He had a touchdown last week and also dropped one from Luck on an extremely tough pass to haul in. Kansas City may not look like a favorable matchup, but it is good enough.

CJ Fiedorowitz (HOU)- He has a great matchup this week. Fiedorowitz has shown signs of life, even against Denver. The offense is looking for him more and more, which will result in at least five points this week. That is the worst-case scenario.

ICE:

Hunter Henry (SD)- His time as the touchdown hound in San Diego is over. Antonio Gates is back from injury and is demanding targets that Henry was previously getting. Henry plays Denver defense this week, as well, which is a major no-no.

Zach Miller (CHI)- Cutler issues along with the Vikings’ vicious defense.

 

Defenses

FIRE:

Jets, Cowboys, Bears.

ICE:

Bengals, Texans, Bills. Do not drop the Bills; however, do not start them.

 

Any Kicker Questions?

We think that kicker questions are unique to the league. Email us at tiebreakersp@gmail.com and we will do the research specifically for you so that you make the right decision. If you are really struggling at any position, email us and we will do what we can to help you win on Sunday.

Written by Mike (Deebs) DiBiase     Photo Credit: K.C. Alfred-The San Diego Union-Tribune

 

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